According to the statement of Robert Kocharian in autumn 2020, Yerevan found itself "on the ne***iating table".
The subjectivity of the Armenian leadership regarding the adoption of military-political decisions in an independent regime has been fundamentally undermined.
Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan is actively promoting the thesis of the coming "era of peace" in the region. At the same time, he clearly avoids any verbal attacks on the Azerbaijani leadership, that, in turn, does not suffer from post-war pacifism.
However, in order for this "ne***iating position" not to take the form of painfully prolonged uncertainty, the Armenian leadership should show its opponents teeth.
The fastest possible return on the army reform initiated by the authorities remains vague. It is not entirely clear how effective transformations can be carried out in the armed forces, maintaining their high pace, when the country's military establishment continues to fever from frequent personnel changes and criminal cases initiated with enviable frequency. Armenia does not have a reserve of time in the medium term to rely solely on the restoration of the high combat capability of the army.
Against the background of the strengthening of the military alliance with Russia, with the help of which the issue of accelerating the army reform is partially resolved, an important factor in ensuring the security of Armenia is the deepening of relations with Iran. He has his own accounts with Azerbaijan and Turkey.
In fact, Iran is the second loser after Armenia in the 44-day war in the region. In the Iranian capital, the mood is growing to "put in place" the Turkish-Azerbaijani tandem without bringing the matter to a direct military confrontation with it.
The interests of the Republic of Armenia and the Islamic Republic in this regard organically coincide. Of course, if Yerevan does not become obsessed with the "olive branch", but makes joint military-political efforts with Tehran.
On the diplomatic line, Armenia needs to adhere to the current format of the OSCE Minsk Group. Washington's interest to transform the format and exclude Russia from it in order to withdraw the peacekeeping contingent is understandable. With this in mind, Armenia needs to be ready for destabilizing and disruptive activities.