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Այսօր`  հինգշաբթի, 17 հոկտեմբերի, 2019 թ.

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The situation over the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict: Will Armenia succumb to provocations or strengthen peace?

13:12, երեքշաբթի, 09 հուլիսի, 2019 թ.
The situation over the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict: Will Armenia succumb to provocations or strengthen peace?
    
    
The development of the situation around the settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh problem is accompanied by an interesting sequence of events. Diplomatic ne***iations in Washington against the background of growing tensions in the conflict zone, the long-awaited exchange of prisoners, a fake letter emerging online, claiming to be written by Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan to NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg... This reflects the complexity and ambiguity of the present situation.

    
At the same time, the OSCE Minsk Group remains the main platform for dialogue, thanks to which everything complicated becomes possible and any positive shift in settlement takes place.

    
In the development of the ne***iation process an important role is played by the co-chairs of the Minsk Group: Russia, France and the United States. Now they call for additional concrete humanitarian measures to be taken as soon as possible to foster an atmosphere conducive to substantive ne***iations and peace.

    
Of course, of all three, Russia has the most initiative and interest in resolving the Azerbaijani-Armenian conflict. However, it all depends on the leadership of the countries participating in the conflict.

    
The fake letter where Pashinyan allegedly promises to "withdraw Armenian troops from Nagorno-Karabakh" during the year is a way to divert the attention of the Armenian leadership from real actions aimed at improving the situation. This is a provocation that does not carry anything good. It is not so important who is the author and customer. The main thing is a correct and timely reaction to the reflection of all potential threats that are behind such provocations. This should be understood in Yerevan.

    
As they should understand, it is necessary to present their concrete vision of the solution of the Karabakh problem. It is impossible to endlessly engage in the refutation of Azerbaijani statements.

    
If the people and the leadership of Nagorno-Karabakh have always known what they are fighting for, and talked about it, the Armenian authorities have never presented any conceptual approaches to resolving the conflict. Therefore, the time is right for the Armenian authorities to formulate a specific agenda for ne***iations.

    
In particular, to include there the question of creating effective mechanisms for bringing to justice the violators of the armistice regime. The timid and half-hearted statements made by official Yerevan do not contribute to the advancement of Armenian interests in the ne***iations.
The Armenian government has an understanding that it is impossible to hold talks on Karabakh with one hand and shoot with the other. Therefore, an escalation of the conflict should not be expected.
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